{"id":32775,"date":"2025-06-05T15:06:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-05T13:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/?p=32775"},"modified":"2025-06-17T15:28:29","modified_gmt":"2025-06-17T13:28:29","slug":"guerre-commerciale-et-agriculture-focus-sur-lafrique-subsaharienne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/guerre-commerciale-et-agriculture-focus-sur-lafrique-subsaharienne\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade war and agriculture: focus on sub-Saharan Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"texte-image pictogrammes texte blanc\">\n\n    \n    <div class=\"bloc-main container\">  \n\n                <div class=\"contenu\">            \n            <div class=\"colonne\">\n                <p><strong>In the current trade war, relations between major economic powers like the United States, China, and the European Union are often at the center of discussions. But what about developing countries? FARM shares some key insights in four charts.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-32777\" src=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Photo-Guerre-commerciale-et-agriculture-quels-enjeux-dans-les-pays-en-developpement-Fondation-FARM-Article.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Photo-Guerre-commerciale-et-agriculture-quels-enjeux-dans-les-pays-en-developpement-Fondation-FARM-Article.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Photo-Guerre-commerciale-et-agriculture-quels-enjeux-dans-les-pays-en-developpement-Fondation-FARM-Article-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Photo-Guerre-commerciale-et-agriculture-quels-enjeux-dans-les-pays-en-developpement-Fondation-FARM-Article-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1678\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Before sharing more in-depth analyses in the coming days, here are some background elements on sub-Saharan African countries, their economic partners, and the evolution of agricultural and food trade, particularly with the United States. Washington remains a major partner of sub-Saharan African countries that were hit hard by President Trump&#039;s Liberation Day announcements, particularly Madagascar and Lesotho, which were to be hit with 47,% of customs duties on all products entering the United States. The 90-day suspension of customs duty increases announced on April 9 brings relief to countries like South Africa, Madagascar, and C\u00f4te d&#039;Ivoire, although customs tariffs of 10,% remain in place. Many sectors could be weakened, such as cocoa farming and textiles.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1680\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">Agricultural and food exports of African countries today<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1681\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">According to figures from Chatham House&#039;s Resource Trade Earth database (UNCOMTRADE sources), sub-Saharan Africa&#039;s agricultural trade will reach 56.8 billion $ in 2022, 18 % corresponding to intra-zone trade (excluding the Maghreb). South Africa will contribute around a quarter of intra-zone exports in 2022. The European Union remains a major partner with 16 billion $, the Netherlands is the leading destination, particularly due to the country&#039;s port infrastructure. Cocoa beans represent, in value, nearly half of trade between the European Union and sub-Saharan Africa. China is also a major and growing partner with 3.9 billion, including 1 billion for sesame seeds, for example. India is a major importing country, and cashew nuts are a key product in this trade.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-32778\" src=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Ou-vont-les-produits-agricoles-dAfrique-subsaharienne.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"619\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Ou-vont-les-produits-agricoles-dAfrique-subsaharienne.png 1292w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Ou-vont-les-produits-agricoles-dAfrique-subsaharienne-300x232.png 300w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Ou-vont-les-produits-agricoles-dAfrique-subsaharienne-768x594.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1685\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">Trends to note:<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li id=\"ember1686\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">Diversification of African export markets towards emerging economies and intra-African markets. <a class=\"PxxmMLACwEGNeKyVHxYCskDzzJAEcLVgZk\" tabindex=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/lanouvelletribune.info\/2025\/04\/afrique-les-dirigeants-africains-reflechissent-sur-la-dynamisation-de-la-zlecaf-a-kinshasa\/\" target=\"_self\" data-test-app-aware-link=\"\">The trade ministers of the Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) met on April 15 in Kinshasa.<\/a> to boost intra-regional trade<\/li>\n<li id=\"ember1687\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">\u00a0EU decline and growth of Brazil, Russia, India and especially China<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1689\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">Focus on trade with the United States<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li id=\"ember1690\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\"><strong>In value<\/strong>, exports to the United States have seen continuous growth, from 890 million $ in 2010 to 3.3 billion $ in 2022.<\/li>\n<li id=\"ember1691\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\"><strong>In volume<\/strong>, they reach 1.3 million tonnes in 2022 and have seen an increase especially after 2015.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-32779\" src=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Principaux-produits-importes-par-les-Etats-Unis-depuis-lAfrique-subsaharienne-1500x756.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Principaux-produits-importes-par-les-Etats-Unis-depuis-lAfrique-subsaharienne-1500x756.png 1500w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Principaux-produits-importes-par-les-Etats-Unis-depuis-lAfrique-subsaharienne-300x151.png 300w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Principaux-produits-importes-par-les-Etats-Unis-depuis-lAfrique-subsaharienne-768x387.png 768w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Principaux-produits-importes-par-les-Etats-Unis-depuis-lAfrique-subsaharienne-1536x774.png 1536w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Principaux-produits-importes-par-les-Etats-Unis-depuis-lAfrique-subsaharienne.png 1951w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-32780\" src=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Montant-des-exportations-dAfrique-subsaharienne-vers-les-Etats-Unis-1500x763.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"407\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Montant-des-exportations-dAfrique-subsaharienne-vers-les-Etats-Unis-1500x763.png 1500w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Montant-des-exportations-dAfrique-subsaharienne-vers-les-Etats-Unis-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Montant-des-exportations-dAfrique-subsaharienne-vers-les-Etats-Unis-768x391.png 768w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Montant-des-exportations-dAfrique-subsaharienne-vers-les-Etats-Unis-1536x782.png 1536w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Graphique-Montant-des-exportations-dAfrique-subsaharienne-vers-les-Etats-Unis.png 1945w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1697\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">Main exporting countries:<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-32782\" src=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Infographie-Les-principaux-pays-exportateurs-de-produits-agricoles-vers-les-Etats-Unis-Fondation-FARM-Wordpress.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"750\" srcset=\"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Infographie-Les-principaux-pays-exportateurs-de-produits-agricoles-vers-les-Etats-Unis-Fondation-FARM-Wordpress.jpg 600w, https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Infographie-Les-principaux-pays-exportateurs-de-produits-agricoles-vers-les-Etats-Unis-Fondation-FARM-Wordpress-200x300.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1701\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">Trade relationships about to be redefined?<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1702\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">AGOA (<em>African Growth and Opportunity Act<\/em>) is the cornerstone of trade relations between the United States and sub-Saharan African countries. Adopted in May 2000 by the U.S. Congress and signed by President Bill Clinton, this law has been renewed but is due to expire in September 2025.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1704\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">What about US exports to sub-Saharan Africa?<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1705\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">US exports to sub-Saharan Africa today amount to 4 million tonnes (including 3.1 million tonnes of cereals, mainly wheat) and a value of 2.6 billion tonnes. The main destinations are Nigeria and Ethiopia.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"ember1707\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__heading-3\"><span style=\"color: #00514c;\">Cutting development aid will weaken these countries<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1708\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">The United States was a major financier of development aid to sub-Saharan African countries, particularly in the areas of food aid and health programs. It is still difficult to know exactly what the consequences of the latest measures will be on African jobs and economies. African leaders are currently meeting to assess these impacts and the responses to be made: diversifying markets while strengthening the African free trade area?<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1709\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">The cessation of American aid, particularly through USAID, poses a much greater risk, especially for the most vulnerable. The World Food Program is already reducing its rations for refugees in Rwanda and Sudan.<\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1711\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\"><strong>Resources :<\/strong><\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1712\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">On African countries and the \u201cpause\u201d granted by Donald Trump: <a class=\"PxxmMLACwEGNeKyVHxYCskDzzJAEcLVgZk\" tabindex=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rfi.fr\/fr\/afrique\/20250411-afrique-le-continent-soulag%C3%A9-apr%C3%A8s-le-recul-de-donald-trump-sur-les-droits-de-douanes\" target=\"_self\" data-test-app-aware-link=\"\">https:\/\/www.rfi.fr\/fr\/afrique\/20250411-afrique-le-continent-soulag%C3%A9-apr%C3%A8s-le-recul-de-donald-trump-sur-les-droits-de-douanes<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"ember1713\" class=\"ember-view reader-text-block__paragraph\">A broader article in English on the impact of Trump&#039;s trade policy on agricultural trade: <a class=\"PxxmMLACwEGNeKyVHxYCskDzzJAEcLVgZk\" tabindex=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ifpri.org\/blog\/how-reciprocal-tariffs-harm-agricultural-trade\/\" target=\"_self\" data-test-app-aware-link=\"\">https:\/\/www.ifpri.org\/blog\/how-reciprocal-tariffs-harm-agricultural-trade\/<\/a><\/p>\n            <\/div>           \n        <\/div>\n        \n        \n    <\/div>\n        \n<\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the current trade war, relations between major economic powers like the United States, China, and the European Union are often at the center of discussions. But what about developing countries? FARM shares some key insights in four charts.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":32802,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[107,81],"thematique":[28],"annee":[139],"class_list":["post-32775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-divers","tag-afrique","tag-agriculture","thematique-filieres-des-producteurs-aux-marches","annee-139"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32775","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32775"}],"version-history":[{"count":28,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32775\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33022,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32775\/revisions\/33022"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32802"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32775"},{"taxonomy":"thematique","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/thematique?post=32775"},{"taxonomy":"annee","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fondation-farm.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/annee?post=32775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}